On July 9th the Climate Prediction Center issued a La Niña watch. This means that conditions are favorable for the development of a La Niña or a negative phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation circulation over the next six months.
The CPC indicates a 55% chance of development over the time period, this product is not a forecast that a La Niña will occur, just that the environment slightly favors that possibility. This product can be canceled like any watch product if conditions change.
- Related: NOAA Issues La Niña Watch: 50-55% Chance of La Niña Developing in Fall and Lasting Through Winter
Generally, depending on the strength of La Niña, the possibility of above-normal rain and snow for the fall and winter seasons is increased for the west. For temperatures, a typical La Niña tends to be warmer than normal for fall but could be colder than normal for winter.
Remember, it is still way too early to try and determine the impacts of this event, if it develops at all. For more info on La Niña and El Niño check out www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov and www.climate.gov/enso (warning: Cool Science content.)
On July 9th the Climate Prediction Center issued a La Niña watch. This means that conditions are favorable for the development of a La Niña